Acquisition · Market profile
Big Bear Lake, CA.
Is Airbnb profitable in Big Bear Lake? Hand-compiled market profile — regulation, economics, saturation.
ADR (avg)
$206
Occupancy
64%
RevPAR
$132
In-depth analysis
Should you buy an STR in Big Bear Lake in 2026?
Yes, if you can acquire a property with a transferable existing STR permit. Big Bear Lake hit its 1,500-permit citywide cap years ago and runs a waitlist for new permits in residential zones — meaning the practical path is to buy a property that already holds a permit and verify transferability at closing. ADR is $206, occupancy 64%, RevPAR $132, market score 86/100. The drive-to-LA gravity is real.
Regulation: where the city stands
The City of Big Bear Lake STR ordinance includes:
- Permit cap — citywide limit reached; new permits effectively unavailable in residential zones; transferable to new owner if filed within a tight window of closing.
- Density spacing — minimum distance between permitted STRs.
- Occupancy formula — 2 + 2 per bedroom standard.
- Fines and revocation — three-strike noise/trash enforcement.
San Bernardino County (unincorporated Big Bear / Sugarloaf / Fawnskin) operates a separate ordinance — many properties marketed as “Big Bear” are actually in the County, not the City. Confirm jurisdiction by parcel address. California fire-insurance hardening hits hard here; the surrounding San Bernardino National Forest is high WUI risk, FAIR Plan + wrap policies are common.
The market by the numbers
| Metric | Big Bear Lake | Comparison |
|---|---|---|
| Avg ADR | $206 | Solid drive-to market |
| Occupancy | 64% | Year-round demand |
| RevPAR | $132 | Strong for the basis |
| Market score | 86/100 | High |
Winter ski (Bear Mountain / Snow Summit), summer lake/boating, fall color, and weekend LA escapes give Big Bear a flatter occupancy curve than most mountain markets.
Submarkets that matter
- Big Bear Lake — Village / Boulder Bay — walkable to Village, strongest weekend demand.
- Moonridge — closest to Bear Mountain resort, ski-in/walk feel.
- Fox Farm / Eagle Point — mid-tier residential, mix of permitted SFR.
- Sugarloaf / Erwin Lake (County) — outside city, cheaper basis, separate STR rules — check County permit status.
The 3 mistakes buyers make here
- Assuming a new permit is obtainable. The city is capped; without a transferable existing permit you may not legally operate.
- Confusing City and County jurisdiction. “Big Bear” mailing addresses span both; ordinances differ materially.
- Underbidding fire-insurance. A $2,500 homeowner quote can become a $7,000 FAIR Plan + wrap after carrier non-renewals.
What to do next
- Pull the City of Big Bear Lake STR program and verify permit status on the parcel.
- Get fire-insurance bound (or at least quoted) before removing contingencies.
- Run Market Score and Comp Analyzer.
- Model with the DSCR Loan Calculator.
Not investment advice. Verify all regulatory and tax information with local authorities and licensed professionals before committing capital.
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Last reviewed · Estimated — community-sourced · Population 5,181
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